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Taça de Portugal

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Portalegrense Santo Antonio
Portalegrense L L L L
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Portalegrense Form (Last 4 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 21, 25 Home Academico Viseu 0 - 3 Loss
Sep 27, 20 Home Marinhense 0 - 11 Loss
Sep 30, 18 Home Farense 0 - 3 Loss
Sep 9, 18 Away Loures 6 - 1 Loss

Predictions

Santo Antonio to win
This prediction indicates that Santo Antonio has a 45.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.39 %

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