Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens Friday 24th July 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Preston Lions Bentleigh Greens

Preston Lions W W W W W L

Bentleigh Greens L L L L L D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bentleigh Greens	Preston Lions	1 - 1	April 17, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	Hume City	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Avondale	2 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sunshine Georgies	0 - 2	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Heidelberg United	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	St. Albans Saints	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Oakleigh Cannons	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	Green Gully	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Altona Magic	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Home	South Melbourne	1 - 5	Loss
Jun 5, 26	Home	Hume City	1 - 5	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Avondale	4 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Home	Sunshine Georgies	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Preston Lions	18	11	2	5	28	15	+13	35
11	Bentleigh Greens	19	5	4	10	24	35	-11	19

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Preston Lions has a 71.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.29 %

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