KNVB Beker
Match Analysis
Purmersteijn
Zwaluw VFC
Purmersteijn
L
L
W
L
Zwaluw VFC
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Purmersteijn with a 44% probability. Despite the teams being closely matched in overall quality and both showing poor recent form, Purmersteijn's defensive struggles and Zwaluw VFC's rest advantage influence the prediction. The model also sees a 54% chance that both teams will score and a 57% chance that there will be over 1.5 goals, suggesting an open, potentially high-scoring game, although exact market odds aren’t available to compare against.
Purmersteijn Form (Last 4 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 25 | Home | FC Volendam | 1 - 7 | Loss |
| Aug 12, 23 | Home | Sportlust '46 | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 23 | Home | ADO '20 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 19, 17 | Away | Sparta Nijkerk | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Zwaluw VFC Form (Last 3 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 24 | Home | Rijnvogels | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 24 | Away | EVV | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 12, 23 | Home | VV Scherpenzeel | 1 - 5 | Loss |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.36% likelihood that both Purmersteijn and Zwaluw VFC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Purmersteijn to win
This prediction indicates that Purmersteijn has a 44.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.55 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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