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UEFA Europa League logo

UEFA Europa League

July 9, 2026 1 week, 2 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Qarabag Vestri
Qarabag L L L W W W
Vestri D W W L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Qarabag Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Feb 24, 26 Away Newcastle 3 - 2 Loss
Feb 18, 26 Home Newcastle 1 - 6 Loss
Jan 28, 26 Away Liverpool 6 - 0 Loss
Jan 21, 26 Home Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 2 Win
Jan 16, 26 Away Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 3 Win
Jan 16, 26 Away NK Osijek 1 - 3 Win

Vestri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Throttur Reykjavik 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Home Afturelding 2 - 0 Win
Jun 17, 26 Home Ægir 3 - 2 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away Leiknir R. 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Völsungur 5 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Away IR Reykjavik 0 - 1 Win

UEFA Europa League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Vestri None None None None None None None None
None Qarabag None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.12% likelihood that both Qarabag and Vestri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Vestri to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Vestri has a 37.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.87 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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