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Challenge Cup

Aug. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Queen of the South Cumbernauld Colts
Queen of the South L L W D L L
Cumbernauld Colts L L W L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Queen of the South Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Away Queen's Park 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Home Aberdeen 1 - 4 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Brora Rangers 0 - 3 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Kelty Hearts 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Crusaders FC 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 - 1 Loss

Cumbernauld Colts Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 5, 26 Away Clydebank 2 - 0 Loss
Oct 25, 25 Home Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0 - 2 Loss
Sep 26, 25 Home Glasgow University 4 - 0 Win
Sep 28, 24 Home Civil Service Strollers 0 - 3 Loss
Sep 24, 23 Away BSC Glasgow 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 8, 23 Home Hamilton Academical 3 - 1 Win

Predictions

Queen of the South to win
This prediction indicates that Queen of the South has a 51.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.83 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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