Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Queen of the South Kelty Hearts

Queen of the South L D D W D D

Kelty Hearts L L W L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kelty Hearts	Queen of the South	1 - 1	April 4, 2026
Queen of the South	Kelty Hearts	3 - 1	January 10, 2026
Kelty Hearts	Queen of the South	1 - 1	November 15, 2025
Queen of the South	Kelty Hearts	2 - 1	August 30, 2025
Kelty Hearts	Queen of the South	1 - 3	April 19, 2025
Queen of the South	Kelty Hearts	0 - 1	March 1, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	GAP Connah S Quay FC	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	1 - 1	Draw
May 5, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 4	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Montrose	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Peterhead	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	East Kilbride	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Gala Fairydean Rovers	2 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Peterhead	0 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Cove Rangers	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Inverness CT	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Montrose	3 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Kelty Hearts	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Queen of the South	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Queen of the South has a 46.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.63 %

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