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Primera Nacional

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Quilmes Atletico DE Rafaela
Quilmes D L L D L D
Atletico DE Rafaela W L W L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Quilmes Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 2 July 29, 2023
Atletico DE Rafaela Quilmes 1 - 0 March 26, 2023
Atletico DE Rafaela Quilmes 1 - 2 May 7, 2022
Atletico DE Rafaela Quilmes 2 - 2 January 24, 2021
Quilmes Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 1 March 2, 2020
Atletico DE Rafaela Quilmes 0 - 0 September 10, 2019

Quilmes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Away Agropecuario 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Tristan Suarez 0 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Club Atlético Güemes 2 - 1 Loss
May 4, 26 Home Chacarita Juniors 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Away San Martin S.J. 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Home Nueva Chicago 0 - 0 Draw

Atletico DE Rafaela Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Midland 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Atlanta 2 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away San Martin Tucuman 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 20, 26 Home Agropecuario 4 - 1 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Atletico DE Rafaela 14 6 4 4 13 10 +3 22
32 Quilmes 14 3 5 6 12 11 +1 14

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.43% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Quilmes to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Quilmes has a 40.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.42 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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