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Virsliga

July 4, 2026 4 days, 17 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Rīgas FS Auda
Rīgas FS W W L W W W
Auda D W L D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Auda Rīgas FS 0 - 3 May 17, 2026
Rīgas FS Auda 0 - 1 April 4, 2026
Auda Rīgas FS 0 - 1 August 31, 2025
Rīgas FS Auda 1 - 0 June 22, 2025
Rīgas FS Auda 1 - 0 May 1, 2025
Auda Rīgas FS 1 - 2 March 5, 2025

Rīgas FS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Away FK Liepaja 0 - 2 Win
Jun 22, 26 Home Ogre United 6 - 0 Win
Jun 17, 26 Away Riga 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Grobiņa 1 - 3 Win
May 29, 26 Away Super Nova 1 - 2 Win
May 25, 26 Home Tukums 3 - 1 Win

Auda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 25, 26 Away Grobiņa 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Away Super Nova 0 - 2 Win
Jun 17, 26 Away Tukums 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home FS Jelgava 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Ogre United 2 - 0 Win
May 26, 26 Away BFC Daugavpils 0 - 1 Win

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Rīgas FS 19 16 1 2 48 14 +34 49
3 Auda 20 12 2 6 36 24 +12 38

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.86% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Rīgas FS to win
This prediction indicates that Rīgas FS has a 54.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.25 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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