Rīgas FS vs Auda Saturday 04th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Rīgas FS Auda

Rīgas FS W W L W W W

Auda D W L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Auda	Rīgas FS	0 - 3	May 17, 2026
Rīgas FS	Auda	0 - 1	April 4, 2026
Auda	Rīgas FS	0 - 1	August 31, 2025
Rīgas FS	Auda	1 - 0	June 22, 2025
Rīgas FS	Auda	1 - 0	May 1, 2025
Auda	Rīgas FS	1 - 2	March 5, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	FK Liepaja	0 - 2	Win
Jun 22, 26	Home	Ogre United	6 - 0	Win
Jun 17, 26	Away	Riga	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Grobiņa	1 - 3	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Super Nova	1 - 2	Win
May 25, 26	Home	Tukums	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Away	Grobiņa	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Super Nova	0 - 2	Win
Jun 17, 26	Away	Tukums	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	FS Jelgava	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Ogre United	2 - 0	Win
May 26, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Rīgas FS	19	16	1	2	48	14	+34	49
3	Auda	20	12	2	6	36	24	+12	38

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.86% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Rīgas FS has a 54.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.25 %

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