Super Liga
Match Analysis
Radnik Surdulica
Novi Pazar
Radnik Surdulica
W
L
D
D
W
W
Novi Pazar
W
L
L
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Radnik Surdulica and Novi Pazar both have moderate recent form, but Radnik Surdulica holds a modest quality edge. Historically, Radnik Surdulica has dominated their meetings, and goals have been hard to come by in those past games. The model predicts a home win with a 51% probability, which is slightly more confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model suggests it is unlikely both teams will score and that the game will finish with fewer than 2 goals, aligning somewhat with the market view on these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novi Pazar | Radnik Surdulica | 0 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| Radnik Surdulica | Novi Pazar | 2 - 0 | April 22, 2026 |
| Radnik Surdulica | Novi Pazar | 1 - 0 | December 21, 2025 |
| Novi Pazar | Radnik Surdulica | 2 - 0 | August 16, 2025 |
| Radnik Surdulica | Novi Pazar | 1 - 4 | April 27, 2024 |
| Novi Pazar | Radnik Surdulica | 2 - 1 | December 15, 2023 |
Radnik Surdulica Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Macva | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Vojvodina | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | OFK Beograd | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Mladost Lucani | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | Novi Pazar | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Buducnost Podgorica | 3 - 1 | Win |
Novi Pazar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Vojvodina | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | OFK Beograd | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Mladost Lucani | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Radnicki 1923 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Radnik Surdulica | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Super Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Radnik Surdulica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Radnik Surdulica to win
This prediction indicates that Radnik Surdulica has a 50.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.02 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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