Raith Rovers vs Livingston Friday 25th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Championship

Sept. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Raith Rovers Livingston

Raith Rovers W L W W D L

Livingston L L W L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Livingston	Raith Rovers	0 - 0	March 5, 2025
Raith Rovers	Livingston	2 - 1	December 28, 2024
Livingston	Raith Rovers	2 - 1	October 26, 2024
Raith Rovers	Livingston	0 - 1	August 31, 2024
Livingston	Raith Rovers	2 - 1	January 20, 2024
Livingston	Raith Rovers	0 - 0	July 21, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Inverness CT	0 - 2	Win
Aug 28, 26	Away	Dunfermline	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Ayr Utd	2 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Queen's Park	1 - 2	Win
Aug 1, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Home	Heart Of Midlothian	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 4, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Arbroath	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Dunfermline	2 - 0	Win
Aug 7, 26	Away	Partick	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	Queen's Park	2 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Raith Rovers	4	2	1	1	5	3	+2	7
5	Livingston	5	2	0	3	4	4	0	6

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Raith Rovers has a 44.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.87 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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