Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir Saturday 01st August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Raith Rovers Stenhousemuir

Raith Rovers D W W D W L

Stenhousemuir W L W D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Stenhousemuir	Raith Rovers	1 - 1	April 6, 2019
Raith Rovers	Stenhousemuir	5 - 1	January 5, 2019
Stenhousemuir	Raith Rovers	1 - 3	November 17, 2018
Raith Rovers	Stenhousemuir	2 - 0	August 11, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Away	Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Elgin City	3 - 1	Win
Jun 30, 26	Home	Edinburgh City	4 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Hamilton Academical	2 - 2	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Ross County	3 - 2	Win
Apr 24, 26	Away	ST Johnstone	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Forfar Athletic	2 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	0 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw
May 5, 26	Away	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Montrose	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Stenhousemuir	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Raith Rovers	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Raith Rovers has a 42.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.26 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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