Ekstraklasa
Match Analysis
Raków Częstochowa
Gornik Zabrze
Raków Częstochowa
L
D
D
L
W
D
Gornik Zabrze
L
L
L
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Raków Częstochowa and Gornik Zabrze are showing poor recent form, but Raków Częstochowa carries a modest quality edge and have shown strong attacking form recently. Despite Gornik Zabrze's historical dominance in recent meetings, the model predicts a home win with a 44% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds suggest. The model also sees a good chance of over 1.5 goals, with a 53% probability, aligning well with the market's view on this outcome.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gornik Zabrze | Raków Częstochowa | 3 - 1 | March 15, 2026 |
| Raków Częstochowa | Gornik Zabrze | 0 - 1 | September 15, 2025 |
| Raków Częstochowa | Gornik Zabrze | 1 - 0 | February 21, 2025 |
| Gornik Zabrze | Raków Częstochowa | 0 - 0 | August 18, 2024 |
| Raków Częstochowa | Gornik Zabrze | 0 - 1 | April 19, 2024 |
| Gornik Zabrze | Raków Częstochowa | 2 - 1 | October 22, 2023 |
Raków Częstochowa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Jagiellonia | 2 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Cracovia Krakow | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Hammarby FF | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Hammarby FF | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Gornik Zabrze Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | GKS Katowice | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | Monaco | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Monaco | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Wisla Krakow | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Ferencvarosi TC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Radomiak Radom | 1 - 3 | Win |
Ekstraklasa Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gornik Zabrze | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 9 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.73% likelihood that both Raków Częstochowa and Gornik Zabrze will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Raków Częstochowa to win
This prediction indicates that Raków Częstochowa has a 43.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.70 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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