Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo

Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Avilés logo Real Avilés
Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Pontevedra logo Pontevedra

Match Analysis

Real Avilés Pontevedra
Real Avilés W D L D D L
Pontevedra W W L W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Pontevedra Real Avilés 2 - 2 May 23, 2026
Real Avilés Pontevedra 0 - 3 January 10, 2026

Real Avilés Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Mosconia 0 - 2 Win
Aug 13, 26 Away Racing Ferrol 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Racing Santander II 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 5, 26 Away Cultural Leonesa 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Ponferradina 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 29, 26 Away Marino de Luanco 1 - 0 Loss

Pontevedra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Ourense CF 2 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Estradense 0 - 5 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Arosa 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 29, 26 Home Deportivo La Coruña II 2 - 1 Win
May 23, 26 Home Real Avilés 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Tenerife 3 - 0 Loss

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Pontevedra None None None None None None None None
None Real Avilés None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Pontevedra to win
This prediction indicates that Pontevedra has a 49.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.49 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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