Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC Sunday 16th August 2026 04:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Real Salt Lake Minnesota United FC

Real Salt Lake L L W D W W

Minnesota United FC D L D L L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Minnesota United FC	Real Salt Lake	1 - 1	May 23, 2026
Real Salt Lake	Minnesota United FC	1 - 3	August 24, 2025
Minnesota United FC	Real Salt Lake	2 - 0	March 30, 2025
Real Salt Lake	Minnesota United FC	1 - 1	January 28, 2025
Minnesota United FC	Real Salt Lake	1 - 1	November 3, 2024
Real Salt Lake	Minnesota United FC	0 - 0	October 30, 2024

Real Salt Lake Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Portland Timbers	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Away	Los Angeles FC	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 16, 26	Home	Burnley	4 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Minnesota United FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Colorado Rapids	2 - 1	Win
May 14, 26	Home	Houston Dynamo	3 - 0	Win

Minnesota United FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Vancouver Whitecaps	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 23, 26	Away	Sporting Kansas City	2 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Real Salt Lake	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	New England Revolution	2 - 1	Loss
May 14, 26	Home	Colorado Rapids	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Austin	2 - 2	Draw

Major League Soccer Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Real Salt Lake	16	8	2	6	28	24	+4	26
16	Minnesota United FC	17	6	5	6	19	24	-5	23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.11% likelihood that both Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Real Salt Lake to win

This prediction indicates that Real Salt Lake has a 49.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.86 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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