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Copa Colombia

Sept. 10, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Real Soacha La Equidad
Real Soacha D L W W W L
La Equidad D D L W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Real Soacha Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 26, 26 Home Rionegro Aguilas 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Deportivo Pereira 1 - 0 Loss
May 13, 26 Home Ind. Yumbo 2 - 0 Win
May 7, 26 Away Jaguares 1 - 2 Win
Sep 3, 25 Home Deportivo Pereira 2 - 1 Win
Aug 27, 25 Away Deportivo Pereira 4 - 3 Loss

La Equidad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Away Deportivo Cali 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Away Cucuta 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 5, 26 Home Jaguares 1 - 0 Win
Jul 29, 26 Away Internacional Palmira 1 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home America de Cali 0 - 2 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Real Soacha to win
This prediction indicates that Real Soacha has a 46.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.30 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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