Serie C - Girone A
Match Analysis
Renate
Novara
Renate
L
W
L
W
W
D
Novara
L
L
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renate | Novara | 3 - 1 | March 28, 2026 |
| Novara | Renate | 0 - 1 | November 23, 2025 |
| Novara | Renate | 1 - 0 | February 23, 2025 |
| Renate | Novara | 0 - 1 | October 11, 2024 |
| Novara | Renate | 1 - 1 | March 6, 2024 |
| Renate | Novara | 2 - 2 | October 28, 2023 |
Renate Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Alcione | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Città di Varese | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Casarano | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Casarano | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Pro Patria | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | Trento | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Novara Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Juventus U23 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Virtus Entella | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Sampdoria | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Inter U23 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Ospitaletto | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 19, 26 | Home | Cittadella | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Serie C - Girone A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Novara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Renate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Renate to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Renate has a 40.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.65 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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