J3 League
Match Analysis
Renofa Yamaguchi
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Renofa Yamaguchi
L
L
W
L
L
D
Thespakusatsu Gunma
L
L
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | Renofa Yamaguchi | 0 - 1 | June 16, 2024 |
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 - 1 | June 12, 2024 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 4 - 0 | April 14, 2024 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1 - 0 | September 23, 2023 |
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | Renofa Yamaguchi | 2 - 1 | May 7, 2023 |
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 - 6 | September 24, 2022 |
Renofa Yamaguchi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Nara Club | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Kagoshima United | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | FC Ryukyu | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Parceiro Nagano | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Yokohama FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Kochi United | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Thespakusatsu Gunma Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Tokyo Verdy | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Biwako Shiga | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Tohoku Gakuin University | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Sagamihara | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Kagoshima United | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Kanazawa | 4 - 1 | Loss |
J3 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 20 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.54% likelihood that both Renofa Yamaguchi and Thespakusatsu Gunma will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Renofa Yamaguchi to win
This prediction indicates that Renofa Yamaguchi has a 51.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.17 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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