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J3 League
FC Ryukyu logo FC Ryukyu
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Sagamihara logo Sagamihara

Match Analysis

FC Ryukyu Sagamihara
FC Ryukyu W D W D L W
Sagamihara D W D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sagamihara FC Ryukyu 4 - 1 November 16, 2025
FC Ryukyu Sagamihara 2 - 0 April 5, 2025
FC Ryukyu Sagamihara 2 - 1 October 12, 2024
Sagamihara FC Ryukyu 0 - 0 March 17, 2024
FC Ryukyu Sagamihara 0 - 4 August 26, 2023
Sagamihara FC Ryukyu 0 - 0 May 28, 2023

FC Ryukyu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 17, 26 Home Urawa 5 - 4 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Fukushima United 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Imabari 1 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Away Sagan Tosu 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Gainare Tottori 1 - 3 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 1 Win

Sagamihara Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home Roasso Kumamoto 3 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Home Fujieda MYFC 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Thespakusatsu Gunma 7 - 2 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Vanraure Hachinohe 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Montedio Yamagata 2 - 3 Win

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Sagamihara 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
9 FC Ryukyu 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Sagamihara to win
This prediction indicates that Sagamihara has a 49.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.84 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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