Virsliga
Match Analysis
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
D
D
W
W
W
L
BFC Daugavpils
D
W
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | Riga | 0 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Riga | 1 - 3 | May 8, 2026 |
| Riga | BFC Daugavpils | 4 - 2 | March 14, 2026 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Riga | 0 - 1 | September 29, 2025 |
| Riga | BFC Daugavpils | 1 - 1 | July 6, 2025 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Riga | 0 - 1 | May 14, 2025 |
Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | KI Klaksvik | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Gyori ETO FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Gyori ETO FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Vardar Skopje | 1 - 2 | Loss |
BFC Daugavpils Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Super Nova | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Tukums | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | FS Jelgava | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Auda | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Ogre United | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | FK Liepaja | 3 - 1 | Win |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Riga | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76 | 21 | +55 | 64 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.7% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Riga to win
This prediction indicates that Riga has a 77.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 12.15 %Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments