Virsliga
Match Analysis
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
W
W
W
W
W
D
FK Liepaja
L
W
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | FK Liepaja | 1 - 0 | May 3, 2026 |
| FK Liepaja | Riga | 2 - 1 | March 7, 2026 |
| Riga | FK Liepaja | 3 - 0 | October 3, 2025 |
| FK Liepaja | Riga | 2 - 3 | July 19, 2025 |
| Riga | FK Liepaja | 2 - 0 | May 19, 2025 |
| FK Liepaja | Riga | 2 - 5 | April 3, 2025 |
Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Rīgas FS | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Ogre United | 1 - 4 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Super Nova | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Tukums | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | FS Jelgava | 2 - 2 | Draw |
FK Liepaja Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 26 | Away | Grobiņa | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 12, 26 | Home | Super Nova | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Tukums | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 26, 26 | Away | FS Jelgava | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Away | Auda | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Home | BFC Daugavpils | 2 - 1 | Win |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Riga | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 19 | +37 | 45 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.08% likelihood that both Riga and FK Liepaja will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Riga to win
This prediction indicates that Riga has a 68.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.95 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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