Riga vs Ogre United Sunday 09th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Riga Ogre United

Riga W W W L W W

Ogre United L W L W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ogre United	Riga	1 - 4	June 13, 2026
Riga	Ogre United	4 - 0	April 22, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Vardar Skopje	2 - 3	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Tukums	3 - 1	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Ararat-Armenia	3 - 2	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	Ararat-Armenia	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	FS Jelgava	3 - 0	Win
Jun 29, 26	Away	Auda	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Home	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 6, 26	Away	Super Nova	1 - 2	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	FK Liepaja	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Tukums	3 - 2	Win
Jun 22, 26	Away	Rīgas FS	6 - 0	Loss
Jun 17, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Riga	23	18	4	1	68	20	+48	58
10	Ogre United	23	3	4	16	21	59	-38	13

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Riga has a 74.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.79 %

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