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Virsliga

June 17, 2026 1 week, 5 days ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Riga Rīgas FS
Riga W W W W D W
Rīgas FS W W W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rīgas FS Riga 3 - 3 April 28, 2026
Riga Rīgas FS 3 - 4 November 7, 2025
Rīgas FS Riga 0 - 0 September 25, 2025
Riga Rīgas FS 3 - 1 June 18, 2025
Rīgas FS Riga 0 - 1 April 26, 2025
Rīgas FS Riga 1 - 2 November 10, 2024

Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Away Ogre United 1 - 4 Win
May 29, 26 Home Grobiņa 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Home Super Nova 3 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Away Tukums 1 - 3 Win
May 16, 26 Home FS Jelgava 2 - 2 Draw
May 12, 26 Home Auda 4 - 1 Win

Rīgas FS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Away Grobiņa 1 - 3 Win
May 29, 26 Away Super Nova 1 - 2 Win
May 25, 26 Home Tukums 3 - 1 Win
May 21, 26 Home FS Jelgava 4 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Auda 0 - 3 Win
May 13, 26 Away BFC Daugavpils 0 - 1 Win

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 17 15 1 1 41 12 +29 46
2 Riga 17 13 3 1 54 18 +36 42

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.35% likelihood that both Riga and Rīgas FS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Riga to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Riga has a 33.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.19 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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