Virsliga
Match Analysis
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
W
W
W
W
D
W
Rīgas FS
W
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS | Riga | 3 - 3 | April 28, 2026 |
| Riga | Rīgas FS | 3 - 4 | November 7, 2025 |
| Rīgas FS | Riga | 0 - 0 | September 25, 2025 |
| Riga | Rīgas FS | 3 - 1 | June 18, 2025 |
| Rīgas FS | Riga | 0 - 1 | April 26, 2025 |
| Rīgas FS | Riga | 1 - 2 | November 10, 2024 |
Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Ogre United | 1 - 4 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Super Nova | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Tukums | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | FS Jelgava | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 12, 26 | Home | Auda | 4 - 1 | Win |
Rīgas FS Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Grobiņa | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Super Nova | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 25, 26 | Home | Tukums | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 21, 26 | Home | FS Jelgava | 4 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Auda | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Away | BFC Daugavpils | 0 - 1 | Win |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 12 | +29 | 46 |
| 2 | Riga | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 54 | 18 | +36 | 42 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.35% likelihood that both Riga and Rīgas FS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Riga to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Riga has a 33.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.19 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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