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Match Analysis

Rionegro Aguilas Deportivo Pereira
Rionegro Aguilas D D D W W D
Deportivo Pereira L W D D L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rionegro Aguilas Deportivo Pereira 1 - 1 May 21, 2026
Deportivo Pereira Rionegro Aguilas 0 - 1 March 15, 2026
Deportivo Pereira Rionegro Aguilas 1 - 5 October 25, 2025
Rionegro Aguilas Deportivo Pereira 3 - 3 May 5, 2025
Rionegro Aguilas Deportivo Pereira 1 - 1 September 27, 2024
Deportivo Pereira Rionegro Aguilas 2 - 1 March 18, 2024

Rionegro Aguilas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Chico 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Millonarios 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Home Llaneros 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Santa Fe 2 - 1 Win
May 26, 26 Away Real Soacha 2 - 2 Draw

Deportivo Pereira Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 4, 26 Home Independiente Medellin 0 - 3 Loss
Aug 31, 26 Away Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Alianza Petrolera 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Fortaleza FC 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 24, 26 Away Llaneros 1 - 0 Loss
May 26, 26 Home Jaguares 1 - 0 Win

Primera A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Rionegro Aguilas 24 9 8 7 28 31 -3 35
20 Deportivo Pereira 23 2 9 12 17 34 -17 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.46% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Rionegro Aguilas to win
This prediction indicates that Rionegro Aguilas has a 54.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.29 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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