Primera A
Match Analysis
Rionegro Aguilas
Jaguares
Rionegro Aguilas
D
L
D
D
D
D
Jaguares
D
D
D
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rionegro Aguilas | Jaguares | 0 - 0 | May 10, 2026 |
| Jaguares | Rionegro Aguilas | 1 - 1 | March 23, 2026 |
| Rionegro Aguilas | Jaguares | 1 - 0 | August 14, 2024 |
| Jaguares | Rionegro Aguilas | 1 - 0 | February 9, 2024 |
| Jaguares | Rionegro Aguilas | 0 - 1 | November 9, 2023 |
| Rionegro Aguilas | Jaguares | 3 - 0 | May 18, 2023 |
Rionegro Aguilas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pereira | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Atletico Nacional | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | La Equidad | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Chico | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Millonarios | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Jaguares Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Fortaleza FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Junior | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | America de Cali | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Chico | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Once Caldas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | La Equidad | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rionegro Aguilas | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Rionegro Aguilas to win
This prediction indicates that Rionegro Aguilas has a 54.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.63 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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