Primera A
Match Analysis
Rionegro Aguilas
Santa Fe
Rionegro Aguilas
D
D
W
D
W
D
Santa Fe
W
D
W
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | Rionegro Aguilas | 1 - 1 | January 19, 2026 |
| Santa Fe | Rionegro Aguilas | 0 - 0 | July 22, 2025 |
| Rionegro Aguilas | Santa Fe | 0 - 0 | February 7, 2025 |
| Santa Fe | Rionegro Aguilas | 0 - 0 | October 6, 2024 |
| Rionegro Aguilas | Santa Fe | 1 - 1 | March 25, 2024 |
| Santa Fe | Rionegro Aguilas | 0 - 5 | October 8, 2023 |
Rionegro Aguilas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 26 | Away | Real Soacha | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pereira | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 18, 26 | Away | Ind. Yumbo | 1 - 4 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Jaguares | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Once Caldas | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Santa Fe Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 26 | Away | Penarol | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Junior | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 20, 26 | Home | Platense | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Junior | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Home | America de Cali | 4 - 0 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | America de Cali | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 35 | 24 | +11 | 35 |
| 12 | Rionegro Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.81% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Rionegro Aguilas to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Rionegro Aguilas has a 34.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.59 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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