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Sept. 18, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Roasso Kumamoto Matsumoto Yamaga
Roasso Kumamoto W L D D D L
Matsumoto Yamaga D D L D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Matsumoto Yamaga Roasso Kumamoto 2 - 0 September 23, 2018
Roasso Kumamoto Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 3 June 30, 2018
Matsumoto Yamaga Roasso Kumamoto 1 - 1 June 6, 2018
Matsumoto Yamaga Roasso Kumamoto 1 - 0 October 7, 2017
Roasso Kumamoto Matsumoto Yamaga 2 - 0 April 16, 2017
Matsumoto Yamaga Roasso Kumamoto 1 - 0 November 3, 2016

Roasso Kumamoto Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Kochi United 0 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Parceiro Nagano 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 19, 26 Away Gainare Tottori 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Tochigi SC 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Sagamihara 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 19, 26 Away Yokohama F. Marinos 3 - 1 Loss

Matsumoto Yamaga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Kitakyushu 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Ehime FC 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Home Biwako Shiga 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Kochi United 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Ventforet Kofu 3 - 0 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home Nara Club 0 - 2 Loss

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
18 Roasso Kumamoto 3 0 2 1 0 1 -1 2

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Roasso Kumamoto to win
This prediction indicates that Roasso Kumamoto has a 43.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.12 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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