Rodez vs PAU Friday 28th August 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Ligue 2

Rodez

Aug. 28, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

PAU

Match Analysis

Rodez PAU

Rodez L W L D W W

PAU W L L L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
PAU	Rodez	3 - 3	January 3, 2026
Rodez	PAU	1 - 2	September 26, 2025
PAU	Rodez	0 - 5	February 14, 2025
Rodez	PAU	1 - 0	December 6, 2024
Rodez	PAU	1 - 4	August 3, 2024
Rodez	PAU	2 - 1	January 13, 2024

Rodez Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Away	Annecy	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	Laval	3 - 1	Win
Aug 1, 26	Away	Montpellier	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Toulouse	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Home	Nimes	2 - 1	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	Cannes	4 - 1	Win

PAU Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Away	Dijon	0 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	Annecy	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	Real Unión	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Real Sociedad II	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	Espanyol	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Tarbes	3 - 0	Win

Ligue 2 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Rodez	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
14	PAU	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.63% likelihood that both Rodez and PAU will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Rodez to win

This prediction indicates that Rodez has a 56.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.08 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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