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Taça de Portugal

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Régua AD Marco 09
Régua L W L L L L
AD Marco 09 W D L D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Régua Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 22, 24 Away Lusitânia 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 15, 24 Away Velense 1 - 2 Win
Sep 10, 23 Away Lusitânia Lourosa 10 - 0 Loss
Sep 11, 22 Away Canelas 2010 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 11, 21 Away Canelas 2010 12 - 0 Loss
Sep 8, 19 Away Coimbrões 4 - 1 Loss

AD Marco 09 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Pacos Ferreira 2 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Cinfães 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 15, 26 Away União de Leiria 2 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Paredes 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home SC Braga B 1 - 0 Win
Apr 18, 26 Home Fafe 1 - 0 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
AD Marco 09 to win
This prediction indicates that AD Marco 09 has a 46.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.14 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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