Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa Sunday 09th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Rīgas FS Grobiņa

Rīgas FS W W W W D W

Grobiņa L W L D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Grobiņa	Rīgas FS	1 - 3	June 13, 2026
Grobiņa	Rīgas FS	0 - 1	April 22, 2026
Rīgas FS	Grobiņa	3 - 2	January 21, 2026
Rīgas FS	Grobiņa	5 - 0	October 26, 2025
Grobiņa	Rīgas FS	2 - 3	August 3, 2025
Rīgas FS	Grobiņa	6 - 0	May 31, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 23, 26	Home	Vestri	4 - 1	Win
Jul 20, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	0 - 1	Win
Jul 16, 26	Home	Glentoran	2 - 0	Win
Jul 9, 26	Away	Glentoran	1 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Auda	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Home	BFC Daugavpils	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 20, 26	Away	Super Nova	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Tukums	3 - 1	Win
Jun 29, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 25, 26	Home	Auda	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Home	FK Liepaja	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Rīgas FS	22	18	2	2	54	16	+38	56
8	Grobiņa	22	4	8	10	15	33	-18	20

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Rīgas FS has a 73.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.79 %

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