Serie B
Match Analysis
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
W
L
L
D
D
L
Nautico Recife
D
W
L
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nautico Recife | São Bernardo | 0 - 3 | April 18, 2026 |
| São Bernardo | Nautico Recife | 1 - 1 | August 24, 2025 |
| Nautico Recife | São Bernardo | 1 - 1 | April 21, 2024 |
| Nautico Recife | São Bernardo | 2 - 2 | August 26, 2023 |
São Bernardo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Operario-PR | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Ceara | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Athletic Club | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Avai | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Cuiaba | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 6, 26 | Away | Vila Nova | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Nautico Recife Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Criciuma | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Londrina | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | CRB | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Avai | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Juventude | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Goias | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | São Bernardo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 24 | +7 | 30 |
| 13 | Nautico Recife | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.6% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.São Bernardo to win
This prediction indicates that São Bernardo has a 48.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.99 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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