Erovnuli Liga
Match Analysis
Saburtalo
Samgurali
Saburtalo
L
L
D
D
D
L
Samgurali
L
W
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samgurali | Saburtalo | 3 - 2 | May 25, 2026 |
| Saburtalo | Samgurali | 2 - 1 | April 7, 2026 |
| Saburtalo | Samgurali | 2 - 0 | November 8, 2025 |
| Samgurali | Saburtalo | 0 - 1 | August 29, 2025 |
| Saburtalo | Samgurali | 2 - 1 | May 11, 2025 |
| Samgurali | Saburtalo | 0 - 0 | March 28, 2025 |
Saburtalo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Jagiellonia | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Torpedo Kutaisi | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Larne | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Larne | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Slovan Bratislava | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Slovan Bratislava | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Samgurali Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Dinamo Batumi | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Meshakhte | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Spaeri | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 24, 26 | Away | Gagra | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | Dinamo Tbilisi | 5 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Torpedo Kutaisi | 2 - 1 | Win |
Erovnuli Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Saburtalo | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 22 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.05% likelihood that both Saburtalo and Samgurali will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Saburtalo to win
This prediction indicates that Saburtalo has a 59.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.83 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments