Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama Wednesday 26th August 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Emperor Cup

Aug. 26, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Sagan Tosu Kataller Toyama

Sagan Tosu W W W L D D

Kataller Toyama L D W L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kataller Toyama	Sagan Tosu	3 - 1	November 9, 2025
Sagan Tosu	Kataller Toyama	1 - 0	March 23, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Ventforet Kofu	2 - 0	Win
Jul 20, 26	Home	Verspah Oita	7 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	Shonan Bellmare	1 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Tokushima Vortis	3 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	FC Ryukyu	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Renofa Yamaguchi	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Vanraure Hachinohe	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Vegalta Sendai	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Nara Club	5 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Tokushima Vortis	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Ehime FC	0 - 2	Win

This prediction indicates that Sagan Tosu has a 50.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.19 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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