Serie C - Girone C
Match Analysis
Salernitana
Bari
Salernitana
W
D
W
D
D
L
Bari
W
D
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bari | Salernitana | 0 - 0 | March 15, 2025 |
| Salernitana | Bari | 0 - 2 | November 10, 2024 |
| Bari | Salernitana | 1 - 1 | July 31, 2024 |
| Bari | Salernitana | 1 - 1 | April 7, 2018 |
| Salernitana | Bari | 2 - 2 | November 4, 2017 |
| Salernitana | Bari | 0 - 0 | April 25, 2017 |
Salernitana Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Giugliano | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Barletta | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Potenza | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Cavese | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Foggia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Sorrento | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Bari Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Sorrento | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Potenza | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 11, 26 | Away | Team Altamura | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Casarano | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Barletta | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Cavese | 3 - 0 | Win |
Serie C - Girone C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bari | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 6 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Salernitana to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Salernitana has a 38.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.28 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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