Erovnuli Liga
Match Analysis
Samgurali
Rustavi
Samgurali
W
W
D
L
W
W
Rustavi
W
W
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rustavi | Samgurali | 1 - 0 | May 21, 2026 |
| Samgurali | Rustavi | 2 - 1 | April 3, 2026 |
Samgurali Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Meshakhte | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Spaeri | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 24, 26 | Away | Gagra | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | Dinamo Tbilisi | 5 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Torpedo Kutaisi | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Dila | 2 - 3 | Win |
Rustavi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Dinamo Tbilisi | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Torpedo Kutaisi | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 22, 26 | Away | Dila | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | Saburtalo | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Meshakhte | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Home | Spaeri | 2 - 1 | Win |
Erovnuli Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rustavi | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 18 | +5 | 35 |
| 5 | Samgurali | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 28 |
Predictions
Samgurali to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Samgurali has a 34.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.44 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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