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Carioca U20

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Sampaio Correa FE U20 Nova Iguaçu U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 W D W L W L
Nova Iguaçu U20 W L L D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Nova Iguaçu U20 2 - 0 October 4, 2025
Nova Iguaçu U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20 0 - 0 June 21, 2024

Sampaio Correa FE U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Volta Redonda U20 0 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Maricá U20 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 11, 26 Away Bangu U20 1 - 2 Win
Oct 11, 25 Away Madureira U20 2 - 1 Loss
Oct 4, 25 Home Nova Iguaçu U20 2 - 0 Win
Sep 27, 25 Away Flamengo U20 4 - 0 Loss

Nova Iguaçu U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Home Vasco da Gama U20 2 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Flamengo U20 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Fluminense U20 1 - 3 Loss
Oct 11, 25 Away Fluminense U20 1 - 1 Draw
Oct 4, 25 Away Sampaio Correa FE U20 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 26, 25 Home Bangu U20 0 - 1 Loss

Carioca U20 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Sampaio Correa FE U20 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
7 Nova Iguaçu U20 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Sampaio Correa FE U20 to win
This prediction indicates that Sampaio Correa FE U20 has a 57.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.47 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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