MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes II
North Texas
San Jose Earthquakes II
W
L
W
D
L
D
North Texas
D
L
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | San Jose Earthquakes II | 2 - 2 | May 24, 2026 |
| San Jose Earthquakes II | North Texas | 3 - 0 | October 20, 2025 |
| North Texas | San Jose Earthquakes II | 2 - 0 | April 24, 2025 |
| San Jose Earthquakes II | North Texas | 1 - 0 | May 13, 2024 |
| North Texas | San Jose Earthquakes II | 1 - 1 | April 6, 2024 |
| North Texas | San Jose Earthquakes II | 0 - 1 | June 17, 2023 |
San Jose Earthquakes II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers II | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | Whitecaps II | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 8, 26 | Home | Real Monarchs | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | North Texas | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 18, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers II | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Real Monarchs | 1 - 1 | Draw |
North Texas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 26 | Away | Whitecaps II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Away | St. Louis City II | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Swope Park Rangers | 5 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Minnesota United II | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Austin II | 0 - 2 | Loss |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 17 | +14 | 24 |
| 23 | North Texas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.34% likelihood that both San Jose Earthquakes II and North Texas will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.San Jose Earthquakes II to win
This prediction indicates that San Jose Earthquakes II has a 58.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.26 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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