MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes II
Tacoma Defiance
San Jose Earthquakes II
D
L
D
D
L
L
Tacoma Defiance
L
L
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes II | Tacoma Defiance | 0 - 1 | July 13, 2026 |
| Tacoma Defiance | San Jose Earthquakes II | 0 - 0 | March 15, 2026 |
| San Jose Earthquakes II | Tacoma Defiance | 0 - 1 | September 28, 2025 |
| Tacoma Defiance | San Jose Earthquakes II | 4 - 4 | July 4, 2025 |
| Tacoma Defiance | San Jose Earthquakes II | 3 - 1 | March 15, 2025 |
| San Jose Earthquakes II | Tacoma Defiance | 1 - 1 | August 26, 2024 |
San Jose Earthquakes II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo FC II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | St. Louis City II | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Minnesota United II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Austin II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | LA Galaxy II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | North Texas | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Tacoma Defiance Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Los Angeles II | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | North Texas | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Whitecaps II | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids II | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Real Monarchs | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | San Jose Earthquakes II | 0 - 1 | Win |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 31 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 28 | +12 | 30 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.36% likelihood that both San Jose Earthquakes II and Tacoma Defiance will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.San Jose Earthquakes II to win
This prediction indicates that San Jose Earthquakes II has a 54.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.88 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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