Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
L
D
L
L
W
L
Minnesota United FC
D
D
L
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 - 1 | July 13, 2025 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Minnesota United FC | 0 - 1 | March 9, 2025 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Minnesota United FC | 1 - 2 | September 1, 2024 |
| Minnesota United FC | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2024 |
| Minnesota United FC | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 - 1 | October 1, 2023 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Minnesota United FC | 1 - 1 | September 3, 2023 |
San Jose Earthquakes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | FC Cincinnati | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Orlando City SC | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Club Tijuana | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | FC Dallas | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Minnesota United FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | San Diego | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Vancouver Whitecaps | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Sporting Kansas City | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Real Salt Lake | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 14, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 24 | +13 | 33 |
| 18 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 24 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.75% likelihood that both San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.San Jose Earthquakes to win
This prediction indicates that San Jose Earthquakes has a 50.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.21 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments