Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes
Nashville SC
San Jose Earthquakes
L
W
D
W
W
D
Nashville SC
W
W
D
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 - 1 | April 28, 2024 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Nashville SC | 1 - 1 | September 24, 2023 |
| Nashville SC | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 - 0 | June 12, 2022 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Nashville SC | 2 - 2 | April 16, 2022 |
San Jose Earthquakes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 26 | Away | Auriense | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 27, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Los Angeles FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Away | San Diego | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Austin | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Nashville SC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 26 | Home | Toronto FC | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Inter Miami | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Toronto FC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | New York City FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | FC Cincinnati | 4 - 0 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 21 | +34 | 60 |
| 7 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | +10 | 45 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.27% likelihood that both San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Nashville SC to win
This prediction indicates that Nashville SC has a 42.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.76 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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