Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes
L
W
L
L
D
D
Orlando City SC
L
D
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | Orlando City SC | 0 - 1 | May 19, 2024 |
| Orlando City SC | San Jose Earthquakes | 5 - 0 | June 22, 2021 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Orlando City SC | 3 - 0 | September 1, 2019 |
| Orlando City SC | San Jose Earthquakes | 3 - 2 | April 21, 2018 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Orlando City SC | 1 - 1 | May 18, 2017 |
| Orlando City SC | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 - 2 | June 18, 2016 |
San Jose Earthquakes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Club Tijuana | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | FC Dallas | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 14, 26 | Away | Seattle Sounders | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Toronto FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Orlando City SC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Away | FC Cincinnati | 6 - 2 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Atlanta United FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Philadelphia Union | 4 - 3 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Away | CF Montreal | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Inter Miami | 3 - 4 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | DC United | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 15 | +19 | 32 |
| 27 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.18% likelihood that both San Jose Earthquakes and Orlando City SC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.San Jose Earthquakes to win
This prediction indicates that San Jose Earthquakes has a 56.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.10 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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