San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe Sunday 16th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

San Lorenzo Union Santa Fe

San Lorenzo W L D L D D

Union Santa Fe L D L L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Union Santa Fe	San Lorenzo	0 - 0	February 14, 2026
Union Santa Fe	San Lorenzo	2 - 1	June 15, 2024
San Lorenzo	Union Santa Fe	1 - 0	February 25, 2023
San Lorenzo	Union Santa Fe	2 - 2	July 20, 2022
Union Santa Fe	San Lorenzo	1 - 2	April 19, 2022
Union Santa Fe	San Lorenzo	4 - 0	August 7, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Gimnasia M.	1 - 0	Win
Jul 26, 26	Away	Lanus	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Deportivo Riestra	1 - 1	Draw
May 27, 26	Home	Deportivo Recoleta	0 - 1	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Santos	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	River Plate	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Gimnasia M.	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Platense	2 - 2	Draw
May 22, 26	Home	Independiente	0 - 2	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	Belgrano Cordoba	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Independ. Rivadavia	1 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Talleres Cordoba	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	San Lorenzo	19	6	8	5	16	16	0	26
17	Union Santa Fe	19	6	7	6	28	25	+3	25

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that San Lorenzo has a 39.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.30 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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