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Primera B

Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

San Marcos de Arica Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica L L L D D W
Curico Unido W L L D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Curico Unido San Marcos de Arica 2 - 2 May 12, 2026
Curico Unido San Marcos de Arica 5 - 3 July 12, 2025
San Marcos de Arica Curico Unido 1 - 2 February 25, 2025
San Marcos de Arica Curico Unido 2 - 3 August 1, 2024
Curico Unido San Marcos de Arica 1 - 0 March 16, 2024

San Marcos de Arica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Rangers de Talca 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Union Espanola 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 13, 26 Home Union San Felipe 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Santiago Wanderers 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Deportes Iquique 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Home Magallanes 2 - 0 Win

Curico Unido Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Home Union San Felipe 2 - 0 Win
Aug 17, 26 Away Deportes Copiapo 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home Deportes Santa Cruz 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Rangers de Talca 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Cobreloa 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home San Luis 1 - 2 Loss

Primera B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 San Marcos de Arica 21 7 9 5 25 18 +7 30
13 Curico Unido 21 5 8 8 20 32 -12 23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
San Marcos de Arica to win
This prediction indicates that San Marcos de Arica has a 55.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.78 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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