San Marino vs Finland Saturday 26th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

UEFA Nations League

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

San Marino Finland

San Marino W L D L L L

Finland L L W L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Home	Azerbaijan	2 - 1	Win
Jun 5, 26	Home	Bangladesh	1 - 2	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Home	Andorra	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 28, 26	Home	Faroe Islands	1 - 2	Loss
Nov 18, 25	Away	Romania	7 - 1	Loss
Nov 13, 25	Away	Czech Republic	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Away	Hungary	2 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Germany	4 - 0	Loss
Nov 17, 25	Home	Andorra	4 - 0	Win
Nov 14, 25	Home	Malta	0 - 1	Loss
Oct 12, 25	Away	Netherlands	4 - 0	Loss
Oct 9, 25	Home	Lithuania	2 - 1	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.35% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Finland has a 60.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.58 %

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