Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
San Martin S.J.
W
L
W
L
W
L
Atletico DE Rafaela
L
L
D
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin S.J. | 1 - 0 | March 14, 2026 |
| Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin S.J. | 0 - 0 | September 15, 2024 |
| San Martin S.J. | Atletico DE Rafaela | 2 - 1 | April 28, 2024 |
| Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin S.J. | 3 - 0 | August 28, 2022 |
| Atletico DE Rafaela | San Martin S.J. | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2021 |
| San Martin S.J. | Atletico DE Rafaela | 4 - 2 | March 12, 2021 |
San Martin S.J. Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Club Atlético Güemes | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Chacarita Juniors | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Agropecuario | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Gimnasia Jujuy | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Nueva Chicago | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Temperley | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Atletico DE Rafaela Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Deportivo Maipu | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Almagro | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 23, 26 | Away | Nueva Chicago | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Patronato | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Colegiales | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Quilmes | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 27 |
| 18 | San Martin S.J. | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 26 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.San Martin S.J. to win
This prediction indicates that San Martin S.J. has a 46.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.29 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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