Santa Cruz vs Figueirense Saturday 25th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Santa Cruz Figueirense

Santa Cruz W W L W D D

Figueirense L D D W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Figueirense	Santa Cruz	2 - 1	October 14, 2017
Santa Cruz	Figueirense	1 - 1	June 24, 2017
Figueirense	Santa Cruz	3 - 1	September 25, 2016
Santa Cruz	Figueirense	1 - 0	June 16, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Ituano	1 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Paysandu	1 - 3	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Ypiranga-RS	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Brusque	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Ferroviária	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Maringá	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 6, 26	Away	Brusque	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	Guarani Campinas	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Ituano	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Away	Floresta	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Paysandu	2 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Confiança	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Santa Cruz	13	6	3	4	13	9	+4	21
15	Figueirense	13	4	4	5	12	18	-6	16

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.69% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Santa Cruz has a 45.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.11 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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