Primera A
Match Analysis
Santa Fe
Deportes Tolima
Santa Fe
D
D
D
W
W
D
Deportes Tolima
L
D
L
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | Santa Fe | 2 - 2 | April 5, 2026 |
| Deportes Tolima | Santa Fe | 1 - 0 | November 29, 2025 |
| Santa Fe | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 2 | November 26, 2025 |
| Deportes Tolima | Santa Fe | 0 - 1 | July 19, 2025 |
| Santa Fe | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 0 | February 1, 2025 |
| Deportes Tolima | Santa Fe | 0 - 0 | September 30, 2024 |
Santa Fe Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | River Plate | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | America de Cali | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | River Plate | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Chico | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Union Magdalena | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Once Caldas | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Deportes Tolima Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Independiente del Valle | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Bucaramanga | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Independiente del Valle | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | La Equidad | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 2 | Win |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 27 | +12 | 47 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 27 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 40 | 28 | +12 | 40 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.75% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Santa Fe to win
This prediction indicates that Santa Fe has a 45.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.13 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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