Serie A
Match Analysis
Sao Paulo
Santos
Sao Paulo
W
D
L
L
W
W
Santos
W
L
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | Sao Paulo | 1 - 1 | February 4, 2026 |
| Santos | Sao Paulo | 1 - 0 | September 21, 2025 |
| Sao Paulo | Santos | 2 - 1 | April 20, 2025 |
| Santos | Sao Paulo | 0 - 0 | November 12, 2023 |
| Sao Paulo | Santos | 4 - 1 | July 16, 2023 |
| Santos | Sao Paulo | 1 - 0 | August 21, 2022 |
Sao Paulo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Internacional | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 16, 26 | Home | Boca Juniors | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Palmeiras | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Boca Juniors | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Atletico-MG | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | RB Bragantino | 2 - 1 | Win |
Santos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | remo | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | Atletico-MG | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Cruzeiro | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 9, 26 | Home | Atletico-MG | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Internacional | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Corinthians | 0 - 1 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 38 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 30 | +1 | 33 |
Predictions
Sao Paulo to win
This prediction indicates that Sao Paulo has a 41.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.77 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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