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Liga 3

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

SC Covilha Atlético CP
SC Covilha D D L W W L
Atlético CP L L W L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
SC Covilha Atlético CP 2 - 1 April 12, 2026
Atlético CP SC Covilha 1 - 2 February 28, 2026
SC Covilha Atlético CP 0 - 0 January 17, 2026
Atlético CP SC Covilha 0 - 0 October 26, 2025
SC Covilha Atlético CP 1 - 3 January 12, 2025
Atlético CP SC Covilha 1 - 0 September 29, 2024

SC Covilha Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 1, 26 Home Amora 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Away Caldas 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Away Lusitano Évora 1911 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 12, 26 Home Atlético CP 2 - 1 Win
Mar 21, 26 Away 1º Dezembro 1 - 2 Win
Mar 14, 26 Home Lusitano Évora 1911 1 - 3 Loss

Atlético CP Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Benfica B 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Estoril 3 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Lusitano Évora 1911 0 - 1 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home 1º Dezembro 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Home Caldas 2 - 0 Win
Apr 12, 26 Away SC Covilha 2 - 1 Loss

Liga 3 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atlético CP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 SC Covilha 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.68% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Atlético CP to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Atlético CP has a 38.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.30 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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