Taça de Portugal
Match Analysis
SC Covilha
Mortágua
SC Covilha
W
D
D
L
W
W
Mortágua
L
W
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
SC Covilha Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | União Santarém | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 1, 26 | Home | Amora | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Caldas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 12, 26 | Home | Atlético CP | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Mar 21, 26 | Away | 1º Dezembro | 1 - 2 | Win |
Mortágua Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 25 | Away | Guimaraes | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 19, 25 | Home | Portimonense | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 21, 25 | Home | Os Marialvas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 31, 25 | Away | Carregal | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 22, 24 | Away | Atlético CP | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 24 | Away | Oliveira de Frades | 0 - 3 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.SC Covilha to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that SC Covilha has a 37.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.76 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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