SC Freiburg vs Motherwell Thursday 27th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

UEFA Europa Conference League

Aug. 27, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

SC Freiburg Motherwell

SC Freiburg W W L W L W

Motherwell W D D W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Strasbourg	2 - 0	Win
Jul 24, 26	Home	Derby	3 - 1	Win
May 20, 26	Home	Aston Villa	0 - 3	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	RB Leipzig	4 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Hamburger SV	3 - 2	Loss
May 7, 26	Home	SC Braga	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 13, 26	Home	HJK helsinki	2 - 0	Win
Aug 9, 26	Home	Falkirk	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 6, 26	Away	HJK helsinki	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 2, 26	Away	Hibernian	1 - 2	Win
Jul 30, 26	Away	HB	0 - 3	Win
Jul 23, 26	Home	HB	2 - 0	Win

This prediction indicates that SC Freiburg has a 50.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.50 %

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